Tanzania Premier League, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Young Africans — Kagera Sugar
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Young Africans are clear favourites: 98% against 0% for the opponent, draw 2%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 23%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Young Africans are about 2.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Young Africans — No. 2, 18 pts; Kagera Sugar — No. 14, 5 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Last 4 meetings: Young Africans 3 wins, Kagera Sugar 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Young Africans — Kagera Sugar What is xG? | 3.7–0.3 | |
| Young Africans not to lose | 100% | |
| Kagera Sugar not to lose | 2% | |
| No draw | 98% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 23% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 77% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 68% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 32% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Young Africans
- Young Africans goals
- Kagera Sugar goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Simba SC1:2
- 15.09Geita Gold FC1:0
- 31.08away · Fountain Gate FC2:0
- 28.08Pamba Jiji2:0
- 24.08JKT Tanzania4:0
- 09.10away · Mbeya City3:1
- 13.09Fountain Gate FC1:1
- 31.08Azam FC0:2
- 27.08away · Mashujaa1:2
- 22.08away · Geita Gold FC2:6
Head to head
- 01.02.2025Young Africans — Kagera Sugar4:0
- 29.08.2024Kagera Sugar — Young Africans0:2
- 08.05.2024Young Africans — Kagera Sugar1:0
- 02.02.2024Kagera Sugar — Young Africans0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba SC | 8 | 8 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam FC | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
Tanzania Premier League on the same day
- Polisi Tanzania FCGeita Gold FCpreliminary5027241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 98% will not happen in roughly 2 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →