Russian Premier League, round 12 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Makhachkala
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zenit St. Petersburg are clear favourites: 73% against 8% for the opponent, draw 20%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Zenit St. Petersburg are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Zenit St. Petersburg — No. 3, 21 pts; Dynamo Makhachkala — No. 10, 12 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Zenit St. Petersburg: 3 wins in a row; Dynamo Makhachkala: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Zenit St. Petersburg 5 wins, Dynamo Makhachkala 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Makhachkala What is xG? | 1.9–0.6 | |
| Zenit St. Petersburg not to lose | 92% | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala not to lose | 27% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Zenit St. Petersburg
- Zenit St. Petersburg goals
- Dynamo Makhachkala goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · FC Krasnodar3:2
- 16.09away · Baltika3:2
- 12.09Lokomotiv Moscow2:1
- 05.09CSKA Moscow1:2
- 02.09Dynamo Makhachkala3:0
- 10.10away · FC Orenburg0:4
- 17.09CSKA Moscow1:3
- 13.09away · FK Akhmat2:3
- 06.09Rodina2:0
- 02.09away · Zenit St. Petersburg0:3
Head to head
- 02.09.2026Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Makhachkala3:0
- 19.04.2026Dynamo Makhachkala — Zenit St. Petersburg0:1
- 18.03.2026Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Makhachkala1:0
- 23.08.2025Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Makhachkala4:0
- 10.05.2025Dynamo Makhachkala — Zenit St. Petersburg0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | +7 | 22 |
| 3 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 10 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Akhmat | 10 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- FC RostovLokomotiv Moscowpreliminary2631432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- CSKA MoscowSpartak Moscowpreliminary373230XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →