Russian Premier League, round 12 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
CSKA Moscow — Spartak Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: CSKA Moscow 35%, Spartak Moscow 32%, draw 33%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSKA Moscow — Spartak Moscow What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| CSKA Moscow not to lose | 68% | |
| Spartak Moscow not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow goals
- Spartak Moscow goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Rodina3:0
- 17.09away · Dynamo Makhachkala3:1
- 12.09Rubin Kazan1:1
- 05.09away · Zenit St. Petersburg2:1
- 01.09away · FC Rostov0:2
- 10.10away · Krylya Sovetov Samara1:1
- 16.09Fakel1:0
- 13.09FC Rostov3:0
- 06.09away · Dinamo Moscow1:2
- 02.09Rodina3:1
Head to head
- 06.05.2026Spartak Moscow — CSKA Moscow1:0
- 22.11.2025Spartak Moscow — CSKA Moscow1:0
- 05.10.2025CSKA Moscow — Spartak Moscow3:2
- 26.04.2025Spartak Moscow — CSKA Moscow1:2
- 02.11.2024CSKA Moscow — Spartak Moscow0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | +9 | 22 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 6 | Baltika | 10 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- FC RostovLokomotiv Moscowpreliminary363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
- Zenit St. PetersburgDynamo Makhachkalapreliminary722081The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →