Russian Premier League, round 11 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Zenit St. Petersburg — FK Akhmat
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Zenit St. Petersburg are clear favourites: 71% against 8% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Zenit St. Petersburg are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Zenit St. Petersburg — No. 3, 21 pts; FK Akhmat — No. 11, 11 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Zenit St. Petersburg: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Zenit St. Petersburg 4 wins, FK Akhmat 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zenit St. Petersburg — FK Akhmat What is xG? | 1.9–0.6 | |
| Zenit St. Petersburg not to lose | 92% | |
| FK Akhmat not to lose | 29% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Zenit St. Petersburg
- Zenit St. Petersburg goals
- FK Akhmat goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · FC Krasnodar3:2
- 16.09away · Baltika3:2
- 12.09Lokomotiv Moscow2:1
- 05.09CSKA Moscow1:2
- 02.09Dynamo Makhachkala3:0
- 11.10Baltika0:0
- 17.09away · Akron Togliatti0:2
- 13.09Dynamo Makhachkala3:2
- 07.09away · Rubin Kazan1:1
- 03.09away · Dinamo Moscow0:3
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Zenit St. Petersburg — FK Akhmat2:0
- 17.09.2025Zenit St. Petersburg — FK Akhmat2:1
- 09.08.2025FK Akhmat — Zenit St. Petersburg1:0
- 30.07.2025FK Akhmat — Zenit St. Petersburg1:2
- 24.05.2025Zenit St. Petersburg — FK Akhmat3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | +7 | 22 |
| 3 | Zenit St. Petersburg | 10 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Akhmat | 10 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | FC Rostov | 10 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- 4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 6225131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5629151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →