Ukrainian Premier League, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Zorya — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Zorya are clear favourites: 49% against 23% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Zorya are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Zorya — No. 6, 11 pts; Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — No. 11, 8 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Zorya 2 wins, Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zorya — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Zorya not to lose | 77% | |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Zorya
- Zorya goals
- Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Liviy Bereh3:1
- 19.09Dynamo Kyiv0:2
- 13.09away · Bukovyna Chernivtsi1:1
- 06.09away · Veres Rivne1:1
- 31.08FC Kharkiv0:3
- 10.10away · FC Kolos Kovalivka1:3
- 19.09Liviy Bereh0:2
- 14.09away · Dynamo Kyiv0:3
- 06.09Bukovyna Chernivtsi0:0
- 29.08away · Kudrivka3:0
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Zorya — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi1:0
- 03.10.2025Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — Zorya1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | +9 | 14 |
| 6 | Zorya | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 8 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 8 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Liviy Bereh | 7 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- KarpatyKudrivkapreliminary751781The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- FC Kolos KovalivkaPolissya Zhytomyrpreliminary2130492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.1
- KryvbasDynamo Kyivpreliminary2126542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.4
- Liviy BerehBukovyna Chernivtsipreliminary323533XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.5
- LNZ CherkasyFC Kharkivpreliminary323334XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.7
- Obolon KyivShakhtar Donetskpreliminary412852The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.2
- Veres RivneChornomorets Odesapreliminary4831211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →