Scottish Premiership: matchday 9 predictions
17–18 October · 6 matches · season 2026/27
Scottish Premiership matchday 9: 6 matches, 17–18 October. The model expects 2.8 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 4 matches, an away win in 2. In matchday 8 the most likely outcome came true in 3 of 6 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Top-of-the-table clashCeltic — Heart of MidlothianCeltic 66% to win; most likely score 2:1; 1st v 3rd in the table
- Closest matchSt. Johnstone — Dundee United37% v 35%, draw 28%
- Most goals expected · Possible upsetDundee FC — Rangers3.1 goals on average; over 2.5: 59%; Dundee FC 14% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
What is at stake
Celtic lead with 21 points from 8 matches; Rangers are second, 2 points behind. The leader’s game this round: Celtic — Heart of Midlothian, 66% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Celtic 63%, Rangers 25%.
The matches
Saturday, 17 October
- 4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1
Sunday, 18 October
- 6620141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
Scottish Premiership: matches and table →Season forecast →Power rankings →