Segunda Division: matchday 10 predictions
16–19 October · 11 matches · season 2026/27
Segunda Division matchday 10: 11 matches, 16–19 October. The model expects 2.5 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 7 matches, an away win in 3 and a draw in 1. In matchday 9 the most likely outcome came true in 7 of 11 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favouriteGranada — CádizGranada 58% to win; most likely score 2:0
- Closest matchLeganés — Córdoba39% v 33%, draw 28%
- Most goals expectedReal Sociedad B — Almería3.0 goals on average; over 2.5: 59%
- Possible upsetCelta Fortuna — TenerifeTenerife 22% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
- Top-of-the-table clashEibar — Mallorca2nd v 4th in the table: 46% v 24%
What is at stake
Almería lead with 21 points from 9 matches; Eibar are second, level on points. The leader’s game this round: Real Sociedad B — Almería, 43% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Almería 27%, Eibar 25%.
In the relegation zone: Real Sociedad B, Cádiz, AD Ceuta FC and Albacete; they are 1 to 8 points behind 18th place. Most at risk by the season forecast: AD Ceuta FC, 72% to go down.
The matches
Friday, 16 October
- 3928331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
Saturday, 17 October
- 3027432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4630241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- 5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
Sunday, 18 October
- 2829442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- 5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 4628271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 5425201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 373231XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.9
Monday, 19 October
- 5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
Segunda Division: matches and table →Season forecast →Power rankings →