NHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks — Calgary Flames
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:4Missed
In short
Final score 2:4: the model's most likely outcome, Anaheim Ducks to win (59% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 59% fails in about 41 matches out of 100 on average.
Anaheim Ducks are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- Anaheim Ducks are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.6.
Facts
- Calgary Flames: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Anaheim Ducks 4 wins, Calgary Flames 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Anaheim Ducks — Calgary Flames | 3.1–2.6 | |
| Anaheim Ducks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Anaheim Ducks
- Anaheim Ducks goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Calgary Flames4:2
- 10.10away · Winnipeg Jets5:1
- 08.10Edmonton Oilers2:5
- 05.10Florida Panthers3:2 OT
- 03.10away · Vegas Golden Knights4:3
- 11.10Anaheim Ducks2:4
- 09.10Colorado Avalanche3:7
- 05.10away · Seattle Kraken1:6
- 04.10away · Vancouver Canucks1:4
- 02.10Seattle Kraken1:6
Head to head
- 11.10.2026Calgary Flames — Anaheim Ducks2:4
- 05.04.2026Anaheim Ducks — Calgary Flames3:5
- 27.03.2026Calgary Flames — Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT
- 02.03.2026Anaheim Ducks — Calgary Flames3:2 SO
- 26.01.2026Calgary Flames — Anaheim Ducks3:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 6 | 1 | -17 | 2 |
Next matches
- Vegas Golden KnightsCalgary Flames16 October · NHL68321The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Anaheim DucksBoston Bruins17 October · NHL48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
NHL on the same day
- 59411The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%3:7Final score 3:7. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 56441The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%2:3SOFinal score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:1.5.0
- 46542The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.5
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:7Final score 2:7. Model's score: 1:4.5.6
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →