NHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes — Washington Capitals
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:2Came true
In short
Final score 4:2: the model's most likely outcome, Carolina Hurricanes to win (59% incl. overtime), came true.
Carolina Hurricanes are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.
Why
- Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Carolina Hurricanes — Washington Capitals | 3.0–2.5 | |
| Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 55% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Carolina Hurricanes
- Carolina Hurricanes goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Philadelphia Flyers4:1
- 11.10away · Chicago Blackhawks5:2
- 09.10Vancouver Canucks7:2
- 07.10away · Montreal Canadiens6:4
- 04.10away · Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
- 12.10Seattle Kraken3:5
- 10.10New York Rangers3:1
- 08.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
- 04.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:3
- 03.10away · Carolina Hurricanes5:2
Head to head
- 03.10.2026Carolina Hurricanes — Washington Capitals2:5
- 01.02.2026Washington Capitals — Carolina Hurricanes4:3 OT
- 12.12.2025Washington Capitals — Carolina Hurricanes2:3 SO
- 12.11.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Washington Capitals1:4
- 16.05.2025Washington Capitals — Carolina Hurricanes1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 20 | New York Islanders | 6 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Nashville Predators | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
Next matches
- Washington CapitalsMontreal Canadiens15 October · NHL54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.1
- Winnipeg JetsCarolina Hurricanes17 October · NHL38622The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
NHL on the same day
- 59411The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%3:7Final score 3:7. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 56441The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%2:3SOFinal score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:1.5.0
- 46542The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.5
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:7Final score 2:7. Model's score: 1:4.5.6
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
- 37632The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →