NHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers — Seattle Kraken
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 2:3 SO: the model's most likely outcome, Philadelphia Flyers to win (51% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.
Close to a coin flip: Philadelphia Flyers 51%, Seattle Kraken 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.5.
Facts
- Philadelphia Flyers: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Philadelphia Flyers 2 wins, Seattle Kraken 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Philadelphia Flyers — Seattle Kraken | 2.5–2.5 | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Philadelphia Flyers
- Philadelphia Flyers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 12.10Carolina Hurricanes1:4
- 10.10away · Boston Bruins1:5
- 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2
- 06.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:4
- 04.10Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 12.10away · Washington Capitals5:3
- 10.10away · Detroit Red Wings6:3
- 07.10Vegas Golden Knights2:6
- 05.10Calgary Flames6:1
- 04.10away · Edmonton Oilers1:3
Head to head
- 29.12.2025Seattle Kraken — Philadelphia Flyers4:1
- 21.10.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Seattle Kraken5:2
- 08.03.2025Philadelphia Flyers — Seattle Kraken1:4
- 18.10.2024Seattle Kraken — Philadelphia Flyers6:4
- 11.02.2024Philadelphia Flyers — Seattle Kraken3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
Next matches
- Tampa Bay LightningSeattle Kraken16 October · NHL63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Detroit Red WingsPhiladelphia Flyers16 October · NHL52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.9
NHL on the same day
- 59411The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%3:7Final score 3:7. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 56441The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
- 46542The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.5
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:7Final score 2:7. Model's score: 1:4.5.6
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
- 37632The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →