VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
Bars — Dinamo St. Petersburg
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4:2Missed
In short
Final score 4:2: the model's most likely outcome, Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (50% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 50% fails in about 50 matches out of 100 on average.
Close to a coin flip: Bars 50%, Dinamo St. Petersburg 50% including overtime.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.5.
Facts
- Bars: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Bars 0 wins, Dinamo St. Petersburg 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bars — Dinamo St. Petersburg | 2.5–2.5 | |
| Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 43% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 57% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bars
- Bars goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Zvezda Moscow5:2
- 10.10Khimik2:1
- 06.10away · Gornyak3:2
- 04.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:3
- 02.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:4
- 12.10away · Almetyevsk2:3
- 10.10away · CSK VVS5:3
- 05.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:3
- 02.10away · Zvezda Moscow4:2
- 30.09away · Khimik3:4 OT
Head to head
- 07.01.2026Dinamo St. Petersburg — Bars4:1
- 15.11.2025Bars — Dinamo St. Petersburg3:4 SO
- 25.02.2025Bars — Dinamo St. Petersburg2:4
- 19.09.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — Bars3:2
- 03.12.2023Dinamo St. Petersburg — Bars2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs | Khimik | 14 | 8 | +18 | 18 |
| 10, Playoffs | Bars | 15 | 8 | -7 | 17 |
| 11, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 12 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 14 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 21 | HC Yugra | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
Next matches
- BarsSKA-VMF St. Petersburg16 October · VHL47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
- Dinamo St. PetersburgRyazan22 October · VHL · preliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
VHL on the same day
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 126%Model's score: 2:13.4
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →