VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Dinamo St. Petersburg — Ryazan

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Model prediction for 22 October

Dinamo St. Petersburg43%
Draw in regulation23%
Ryazan34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dinamo St. Petersburg are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.

Why

  • Dinamo St. Petersburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dinamo St. Petersburg — Ryazan2.5–2.2
Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Ryazan to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)37%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)63%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Dinamo St. Petersburg
  • Dinamo St. Petersburg goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Dinamo St. Petersburg

  • 12.10away · Almetyevsk2:3
  • 10.10away · CSK VVS5:3
  • 05.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:3
  • 02.10away · Zvezda Moscow4:2
  • 30.09away · Khimik3:4 OT

Ryazan

  • 12.10Chelmet Chelyabinsk8:0
  • 10.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk4:3 SO
  • 08.10Orsk2:3 OT
  • 03.10away · Perm0:1
  • 01.10away · Toros Neftekamsk0:3

Head to head

  • 20.01.2026Ryazan — Dinamo St. Petersburg4:3
  • 01.11.2025Dinamo St. Petersburg — Ryazan2:3
  • 12.12.2024Ryazan — Dinamo St. Petersburg2:3
  • 02.12.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — Ryazan0:1
  • 25.01.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — Ryazan0:2

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
17Toros Neftekamsk1362530–31-114
18Ryazan1554630–32-214
19Rubin Tyumen1270529–32-314
20Dinamo St. Petersburg1361637–42-513
21HC Yugra1260620–18+212

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
  • IzhevskKurganpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • KhimikKalugapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:13.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.1
  • Zvezda MoscowAKMpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →