NHL · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK · TD Garden
Boston Bruins — Ottawa Senators
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:4Came true
In short
Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Ottawa Senators to win (55% incl. overtime), came true.
Ottawa Senators are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Boston Bruins — Ottawa Senators | 2.6–2.8 | |
| Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Boston Bruins
- Boston Bruins goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 04.10away · Minnesota Wild1:4
- 03.10away · Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT
- 30.09New York Rangers3:0
- 02.05Buffalo Sabres1:4
- 29.04away · Buffalo Sabres2:1 OT
- 04.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs3:2
- 25.04Carolina Hurricanes2:4
- 24.04Carolina Hurricanes1:2
- 21.04away · Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 18.04away · Carolina Hurricanes0:2
Head to head
- 22.12.2025Boston Bruins — Ottawa Senators2:6
- 14.11.2025Ottawa Senators — Boston Bruins5:3
- 07.11.2025Boston Bruins — Ottawa Senators3:2 OT
- 28.10.2025Ottawa Senators — Boston Bruins7:2
- 14.03.2025Ottawa Senators — Boston Bruins6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 5 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 6 | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 5 | 4 | +5 | 8 |
Next matches
- Detroit Red WingsOttawa Senators7 October · NHL55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- Boston BruinsUtah Mammoth9 October · NHL47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%6:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.6
NHL on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome came true: 124%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 4:1, exactly right.5.1
- 66341The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 5:2.6.0
- 67331The most likely outcome came true: 121%5:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →