NHL · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · TD Garden
Boston Bruins — Philadelphia Flyers
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
5:1Came true
In short
Final score 5:1: the model's most likely outcome, Boston Bruins to win (54% incl. overtime), came true.
Boston Bruins are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.4.
Facts
- Philadelphia Flyers: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Boston Bruins 3 wins, Philadelphia Flyers 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Boston Bruins — Philadelphia Flyers | 2.6–2.4 | |
| Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Boston Bruins
- Boston Bruins goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 09.10Utah Mammoth6:1
- 06.10Ottawa Senators1:4
- 04.10away · Minnesota Wild1:4
- 03.10away · Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT
- 30.09New York Rangers3:0
- 09.10away · Ottawa Senators1:2
- 06.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:4
- 04.10Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 02.10away · New Jersey Devils2:3 OT
- 01.10Pittsburgh Penguins0:7
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Boston Bruins2:1 OT
- 28.02.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Boston Bruins3:1
- 30.01.2026Boston Bruins — Philadelphia Flyers6:3
- 07.12.2024Boston Bruins — Philadelphia Flyers4:3 OT
- 02.11.2024Philadelphia Flyers — Boston Bruins0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
Next matches
- Philadelphia FlyersCarolina Hurricanes12 October · NHL36642The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
- San Jose SharksBoston Bruins14 October · NHL40602The most likely outcome came true: 223%3:6Final score 3:6. Model's score: 2:5.5.7
NHL on the same day
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%3:2SOFinal score 3:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:5.6.3
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%3:6Final score 3:6. Model's score: 4:1.5.2
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 124%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 4:1.5.2
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%1:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →