NHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · SAP Center

San Jose Sharks — Boston Bruins

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Model prediction and result

3:6Came true
San Jose Sharks30%
Draw in regulation23%
Boston Bruins47%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:6: the model's most likely outcome, Boston Bruins to win (60% incl. overtime), came true.

Boston Bruins are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • Boston Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.6.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: San Jose Sharks 3 wins, Boston Bruins 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Boston Bruins2.6–3.1
San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • San Jose Sharks goals
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Form

San Jose Sharks

  • 10.10Edmonton Oilers1:3
  • 09.10away · St. Louis Blues3:2 OT
  • 06.10away · Dallas Stars0:5
  • 04.10Los Angeles Kings5:4 OT
  • 02.10Florida Panthers4:3 OT

Boston Bruins

  • 10.10Philadelphia Flyers5:1
  • 09.10Utah Mammoth6:1
  • 06.10Ottawa Senators1:4
  • 04.10away · Minnesota Wild1:4
  • 03.10away · Winnipeg Jets4:3 OT

Head to head

  • 13.03.2026Boston Bruins — San Jose Sharks2:4
  • 24.11.2025San Jose Sharks — Boston Bruins3:1
  • 23.03.2025San Jose Sharks — Boston Bruins3:1
  • 20.01.2025Boston Bruins — San Jose Sharks6:3
  • 01.12.2023Boston Bruins — San Jose Sharks3:0

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins750226–16+1010
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth750227–19+810
23New Jersey Devils630316–22-66
24San Jose Sharks630316–23-76
25Dallas Stars621313–11+25

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →