NHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Boston Bruins — San Jose Sharks

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Model prediction for 25 October

Boston Bruins50%
Draw in regulation22%
San Jose Sharks28%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Boston Bruins are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • Boston Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Boston Bruins — San Jose Sharks3.2–2.5
Boston Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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Form

Boston Bruins

  • 14.10away · San Jose Sharks6:3
  • 10.10Philadelphia Flyers5:1
  • 09.10Utah Mammoth6:1
  • 06.10Ottawa Senators1:4
  • 04.10away · Minnesota Wild1:4

San Jose Sharks

  • 14.10Boston Bruins3:6
  • 10.10Edmonton Oilers1:3
  • 09.10away · St. Louis Blues3:2 OT
  • 06.10away · Dallas Stars0:5
  • 04.10Los Angeles Kings5:4 OT

Head to head

  • 14.10.2026San Jose Sharks — Boston Bruins3:6
  • 13.03.2026Boston Bruins — San Jose Sharks2:4
  • 24.11.2025San Jose Sharks — Boston Bruins3:1
  • 23.03.2025San Jose Sharks — Boston Bruins3:1
  • 20.01.2025Boston Bruins — San Jose Sharks6:3

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins750226–16+1010
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth750227–19+810
23New Jersey Devils630316–22-66
24San Jose Sharks630316–23-76
25Dallas Stars621313–11+25

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →