NHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Utah Mammoth — Tampa Bay Lightning
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Utah Mammoth are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- Utah Mammoth are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Utah Mammoth — Tampa Bay Lightning | 3.1–2.7 | |
| Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Utah Mammoth
- Utah Mammoth goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:4
- 11.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:1
- 09.10away · Boston Bruins1:6
- 07.10away · New Jersey Devils5:3
- 05.10away · New York Rangers2:4
- 14.10away · New York Rangers1:4
- 11.10away · New York Islanders5:3
- 09.10Minnesota Wild3:2
- 06.10Philadelphia Flyers4:1
- 04.10Washington Capitals3:1
Head to head
- 27.01.2026Tampa Bay Lightning — Utah Mammoth2:0
- 02.11.2025Utah Mammoth — Tampa Bay Lightning2:4
- 28.03.2025Tampa Bay Lightning — Utah Mammoth8:0
- 23.03.2025Utah Mammoth — Tampa Bay Lightning6:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Florida Panthers | 7 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsSan Jose Sharkspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- Columbus Blue JacketsVegas Golden Knightspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- Edmonton OilersToronto Maple Leafspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.3
- Ottawa SenatorsNew York Rangerspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Pittsburgh PenguinsNashville Predatorspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.9
- St. Louis BluesCarolina Hurricanespreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Washington CapitalsBuffalo Sabrespreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.6
- Calgary FlamesDetroit Red Wingspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →