NHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Pittsburgh Penguins — Nashville Predators

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Model prediction for 25 October

Pittsburgh Penguins47%
Draw in regulation22%
Nashville Predators31%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pittsburgh Penguins are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.

Why

  • Pittsburgh Penguins are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Pittsburgh Penguins — Nashville Predators3.2–2.7
Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
Nashville Predators to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)60%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)40%

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Form

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • 11.10Dallas Stars2:1 SO
  • 10.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 SO
  • 08.10away · Washington Capitals3:5
  • 06.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
  • 04.10Montreal Canadiens6:5 OT

Nashville Predators

  • 11.10away · Ottawa Senators2:3 SO
  • 09.10away · Montreal Canadiens5:2
  • 07.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5 OT
  • 04.10Dallas Stars2:1
  • 02.10Minnesota Wild1:3

Head to head

  • 16.11.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Nashville Predators4:0
  • 14.11.2025Nashville Predators — Pittsburgh Penguins2:1 OT
  • 02.02.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Nashville Predators3:0
  • 20.12.2024Nashville Predators — Pittsburgh Penguins4:5 OT
  • 16.04.2024Pittsburgh Penguins — Nashville Predators4:2

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceFlorida Panthers732219–20-18
13, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionPittsburgh Penguins631222–17+57
14, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSt. Louis Blues631221–18+37
21Washington Capitals630319–18+16
22Nashville Predators522114–1406
23San Jose Sharks530213–17-46

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →