NHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

St. Louis Blues — Carolina Hurricanes

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Model prediction for 25 October

St. Louis Blues29%
Draw in regulation23%
Carolina Hurricanes48%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Carolina Hurricanes are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: St. Louis Blues — No. 16, 7 pts; Carolina Hurricanes — No. 1, 13 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Carolina Hurricanes: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: St. Louis Blues 3 wins, Carolina Hurricanes 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: St. Louis Blues — Carolina Hurricanes2.4–3.0
St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout)39%
Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout)61%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

St. Louis Blues

  • 14.10away · Ottawa Senators7:2
  • 11.10Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
  • 09.10San Jose Sharks2:3 OT
  • 07.10away · Chicago Blackhawks2:4
  • 04.10away · Colorado Avalanche1:6

Carolina Hurricanes

  • 14.10Washington Capitals4:2
  • 12.10away · Philadelphia Flyers4:1
  • 11.10away · Chicago Blackhawks5:2
  • 09.10Vancouver Canucks7:2
  • 07.10away · Montreal Canadiens6:4

Head to head

  • 13.03.2026Carolina Hurricanes — St. Louis Blues1:3
  • 14.01.2026St. Louis Blues — Carolina Hurricanes3:0
  • 18.11.2024Carolina Hurricanes — St. Louis Blues4:1
  • 20.10.2024St. Louis Blues — Carolina Hurricanes4:3
  • 13.04.2024St. Louis Blues — Carolina Hurricanes2:5

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionCarolina Hurricanes861131–19+1213
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers860227–14+1312
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionPittsburgh Penguins731325–22+37
16St. Louis Blues631221–18+37
17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs731324–23+17

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →