NHL · Friday, 2 October, MSK · Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:6Missed
In short
Final score 1:6: the model's most likely outcome, Calgary Flames to win (52% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 52% fails in about 48 matches out of 100 on average.
Close to a coin flip: Calgary Flames 52%, Seattle Kraken 48% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken | 2.7–2.6 | |
| Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Calgary Flames
- Calgary Flames goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 17.04Los Angeles Kings3:1
- 15.04Colorado Avalanche1:3
- 13.04Utah Mammoth4:1
- 12.04away · Seattle Kraken1:4
- 10.04away · Colorado Avalanche1:3
- 17.04away · Colorado Avalanche0:2
- 16.04away · Vegas Golden Knights1:4
- 14.04Los Angeles Kings3:5
- 12.04Calgary Flames4:1
- 10.04Vegas Golden Knights4:3 SO
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames4:1
- 06.01.2026Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken1:5
- 19.12.2025Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken4:2
- 26.03.2025Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken4:3 OT
- 09.02.2025Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken2:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 4 | 0 | -7 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 6 | 1 | -17 | 2 |
Next matches
- Edmonton OilersSeattle Kraken4 October · NHL60401The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- Vancouver CanucksCalgary Flames4 October · NHL48522The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:3.6.0
NHL on the same day
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%6:3Final score 6:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.2
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 43572The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.8
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 1:4.5.8
- 69311The most likely outcome came true: 120%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
- 37632The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%4:3OTFinal score 4:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:5.6.2
- 40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%7:9Final score 7:9. Model's score: 2:5.6.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →