NHL · Friday, 2 October, MSK · SAP Center
San Jose Sharks — Florida Panthers
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4:3 OTMissed
In short
Final score 4:3 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Florida Panthers to win (63% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.
Florida Panthers are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 62%.
Why
- Florida Panthers are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Florida Panthers | 2.7–3.5 | |
| San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 62% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap San Jose Sharks
- San Jose Sharks goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 17.04away · Winnipeg Jets6:1
- 16.04away · Chicago Blackhawks2:5
- 14.04away · Nashville Predators3:2
- 12.04Vancouver Canucks3:4 SO
- 10.04away · Anaheim Ducks1:6
- 30.09away · Carolina Hurricanes1:0 OT
- 16.04Detroit Red Wings8:1
- 14.04New York Rangers3:2
- 12.04away · Toronto Maple Leafs6:2
- 10.04away · Ottawa Senators1:5
Head to head
- 20.01.2026Florida Panthers — San Jose Sharks1:4
- 09.11.2025San Jose Sharks — Florida Panthers3:1
- 26.01.2025San Jose Sharks — Florida Panthers2:7
- 08.12.2024Florida Panthers — San Jose Sharks3:1
- 15.11.2023San Jose Sharks — Florida Panthers3:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nashville Predators | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 | San Jose Sharks | 5 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Florida Panthers | 6 | 2 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Buffalo Sabres | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
Next matches
- San Jose SharksLos Angeles Kings4 October · NHL45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%5:4OTFinal score 5:4 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.8
- Anaheim DucksFlorida Panthers5 October · NHL49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 2:5.5.9
NHL on the same day
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%6:3Final score 6:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.2
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 43572The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.8
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 1:4.5.8
- 52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%1:6Final score 1:6. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
- 69311The most likely outcome came true: 120%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
- 40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%7:9Final score 7:9. Model's score: 2:5.6.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →