NHL · Friday, 2 October, MSK · Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks — Edmonton Oilers

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Model prediction and result

7:9Came true
Vancouver Canucks31%
Draw in regulation21%
Edmonton Oilers48%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 7:9: the model's most likely outcome, Edmonton Oilers to win (60% incl. overtime), came true.

Edmonton Oilers are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 6.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 66%.

Why

  • Edmonton Oilers are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 3.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vancouver Canucks — Edmonton Oilers3.0–3.5
Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)66%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)34%

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Form

Vancouver Canucks

  • 30.09away · Edmonton Oilers6:5 OT
  • 17.04away · Edmonton Oilers1:6
  • 15.04Los Angeles Kings4:3 OT
  • 13.04away · Anaheim Ducks4:3 OT
  • 12.04away · San Jose Sharks4:3 SO

Edmonton Oilers

  • 30.09Vancouver Canucks5:6 OT
  • 01.05away · Anaheim Ducks2:5
  • 29.04Anaheim Ducks4:1
  • 27.04away · Anaheim Ducks3:4 OT
  • 25.04away · Anaheim Ducks4:7

Head to head

  • 30.09.2026Edmonton Oilers — Vancouver Canucks5:6 OT
  • 17.04.2026Edmonton Oilers — Vancouver Canucks6:1
  • 18.01.2026Vancouver Canucks — Edmonton Oilers0:6
  • 27.10.2025Vancouver Canucks — Edmonton Oilers4:3 OT
  • 12.10.2025Edmonton Oilers — Vancouver Canucks3:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights860230–20+1012
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers651029–18+1111
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →