NHL · Friday, 2 October, MSK · Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets — Buffalo Sabres
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6:3Missed
In short
Final score 6:3: the model's most likely outcome, Buffalo Sabres to win (53% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.
Buffalo Sabres are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 63%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 3.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Columbus Blue Jackets — Buffalo Sabres | 3.0–3.2 | |
| Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Buffalo Sabres to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 63% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 37% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Columbus Blue Jackets
- Columbus Blue Jackets goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 15.04Washington Capitals1:2
- 13.04Boston Bruins2:3
- 12.04away · Montreal Canadiens5:2
- 10.04away · Buffalo Sabres0:5
- 08.04away · Detroit Red Wings4:3 SO
- 19.05Montreal Canadiens2:3 OT
- 17.05away · Montreal Canadiens8:3
- 15.05Montreal Canadiens3:6
- 13.05away · Montreal Canadiens3:2
- 11.05away · Montreal Canadiens2:6
Head to head
- 10.04.2026Buffalo Sabres — Columbus Blue Jackets5:0
- 03.01.2026Columbus Blue Jackets — Buffalo Sabres5:1
- 29.10.2025Buffalo Sabres — Columbus Blue Jackets3:4 OT
- 11.04.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Buffalo Sabres3:2
- 05.02.2025Buffalo Sabres — Columbus Blue Jackets3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Colorado Avalanche | 5 | 3 | +9 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 5 | 2 | +3 | 5 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
Next matches
- Columbus Blue JacketsUtah Mammoth4 October · NHL49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.9
- Buffalo SabresChicago Blackhawks4 October · NHL73271The most likely outcome came true: 119%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
NHL on the same day
- 62381The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 43572The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.8
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 1:4.5.8
- 52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%1:6Final score 1:6. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
- 69311The most likely outcome came true: 120%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
- 37632The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%4:3OTFinal score 4:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:5.6.2
- 40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%7:9Final score 7:9. Model's score: 2:5.6.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →