NHL · Friday, 2 October, MSK · Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils — Philadelphia Flyers
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2 OTCame true
In short
Final score 3:2 OT: the model's most likely outcome, New Jersey Devils to win (62% incl. overtime), came true.
New Jersey Devils are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- New Jersey Devils are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.4.
- Philadelphia Flyers: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New Jersey Devils — Philadelphia Flyers | 3.1–2.4 | |
| New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap New Jersey Devils
- New Jersey Devils goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 15.04away · Boston Bruins0:4
- 13.04Ottawa Senators4:3 OT
- 12.04away · Detroit Red Wings5:3
- 10.04Pittsburgh Penguins2:5
- 08.04Philadelphia Flyers1:5
- 01.10Pittsburgh Penguins0:7
- 10.05Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 08.05Carolina Hurricanes1:4
- 05.05away · Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 03.05away · Carolina Hurricanes0:3
Head to head
- 08.04.2026New Jersey Devils — Philadelphia Flyers1:5
- 30.11.2025New Jersey Devils — Philadelphia Flyers3:5
- 23.11.2025Philadelphia Flyers — New Jersey Devils6:3
- 09.03.2025Philadelphia Flyers — New Jersey Devils1:3
- 30.01.2025New Jersey Devils — Philadelphia Flyers5:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 26 | New Jersey Devils | 5 | 2 | -7 | 4 |
| 27 | Vancouver Canucks | 7 | 2 | -11 | 4 |
| 30 | Chicago Blackhawks | 6 | 1 | -14 | 2 |
| 31 | Philadelphia Flyers | 7 | 0 | -20 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 5 | 0 | -19 | 0 |
Next matches
- Philadelphia FlyersCarolina Hurricanes4 October · NHL48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.6
- New York IslandersNew Jersey Devils4 October · NHL54461The most likely outcome came true: 123%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
NHL on the same day
- 47532The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%6:3Final score 6:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.2
- 43572The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.8
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 1:4.5.8
- 52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%1:6Final score 1:6. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
- 69311The most likely outcome came true: 120%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 4:1.5.8
- 37632The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%4:3OTFinal score 4:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:5.6.2
- 40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%7:9Final score 7:9. Model's score: 2:5.6.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →