NHL · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 31 October

Calgary Flames35%
Draw in regulation24%
Seattle Kraken41%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Seattle Kraken are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken2.6–2.8
Calgary Flames to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

Calgary Flames

  • 14.10away · Anaheim Ducks4:2
  • 11.10Anaheim Ducks2:4
  • 09.10Colorado Avalanche3:7
  • 05.10away · Seattle Kraken1:6
  • 04.10away · Vancouver Canucks1:4

Seattle Kraken

  • 14.10away · Philadelphia Flyers3:2 SO
  • 12.10away · Washington Capitals5:3
  • 10.10away · Detroit Red Wings6:3
  • 07.10Vegas Golden Knights2:6
  • 05.10Calgary Flames6:1

Head to head

  • 05.10.2026Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames6:1
  • 02.10.2026Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken1:6
  • 12.04.2026Seattle Kraken — Calgary Flames4:1
  • 06.01.2026Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken1:5
  • 19.12.2025Calgary Flames — Seattle Kraken4:2

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers651029–18+1111
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins750226–16+1010
31Los Angeles Kings502311–21-102
32Calgary Flames610512–29-172

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →