NHL · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

New York Islanders — Edmonton Oilers

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Model prediction for 31 October

New York Islanders36%
Draw in regulation23%
Edmonton Oilers41%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Edmonton Oilers are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.9.

Facts

  • League table: New York Islanders — No. 20, 6 pts; Edmonton Oilers — No. 4, 11 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Edmonton Oilers: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: New York Islanders 3 wins, Edmonton Oilers 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New York Islanders — Edmonton Oilers2.8–3.0
New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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Form

New York Islanders

  • 14.10Vancouver Canucks3:2
  • 11.10Tampa Bay Lightning3:5
  • 09.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
  • 07.10away · New York Rangers2:5
  • 04.10New Jersey Devils6:0

Edmonton Oilers

  • 14.10away · Los Angeles Kings4:1
  • 10.10away · San Jose Sharks3:1
  • 08.10away · Anaheim Ducks5:2
  • 04.10Seattle Kraken3:1
  • 02.10away · Vancouver Canucks9:7

Head to head

  • 16.01.2026Edmonton Oilers — New York Islanders0:1
  • 17.10.2025New York Islanders — Edmonton Oilers4:2
  • 15.03.2025New York Islanders — Edmonton Oilers1:2 OT
  • 13.11.2024Edmonton Oilers — New York Islanders4:3 OT
  • 20.12.2023New York Islanders — Edmonton Oilers3:1

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights860230–20+1012
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers651029–18+1111
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
19Buffalo Sabres731319–26-77
20New York Islanders630319–15+46
21Washington Capitals630319–18+16

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →