NHL · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Detroit Red Wings — St. Louis Blues

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Model prediction for 31 October

Detroit Red Wings37%
Draw in regulation24%
St. Louis Blues39%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Detroit Red Wings 49%, St. Louis Blues 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.6.

Facts

  • League table: Detroit Red Wings — No. 27, 4 pts; St. Louis Blues — No. 16, 7 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
  • Detroit Red Wings: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Detroit Red Wings 3 wins, St. Louis Blues 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Detroit Red Wings — St. Louis Blues2.6–2.6
Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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Form

Detroit Red Wings

  • 14.10New Jersey Devils4:5 OT
  • 11.10away · Montreal Canadiens0:1 SO
  • 10.10Seattle Kraken3:6
  • 07.10Ottawa Senators5:3
  • 04.10Winnipeg Jets2:3

St. Louis Blues

  • 14.10away · Ottawa Senators7:2
  • 11.10Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
  • 09.10San Jose Sharks2:3 OT
  • 07.10away · Chicago Blackhawks2:4
  • 04.10away · Colorado Avalanche1:6

Head to head

  • 29.10.2025St. Louis Blues — Detroit Red Wings2:5
  • 26.10.2025Detroit Red Wings — St. Louis Blues6:4
  • 02.04.2025St. Louis Blues — Detroit Red Wings2:1 OT
  • 24.12.2024Detroit Red Wings — St. Louis Blues0:4
  • 24.02.2024Detroit Red Wings — St. Louis Blues6:1

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionPittsburgh Penguins731325–22+37
16St. Louis Blues631221–18+37
17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceToronto Maple Leafs731324–23+17
26Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →