NHL · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators

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Model prediction for 31 October

San Jose Sharks27%
Draw in regulation22%
Ottawa Senators51%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ottawa Senators are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Ottawa Senators are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators2.4–3.1
San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

San Jose Sharks

  • 10.10Edmonton Oilers1:3
  • 09.10away · St. Louis Blues3:2 OT
  • 06.10away · Dallas Stars0:5
  • 04.10Los Angeles Kings5:4 OT
  • 02.10Florida Panthers4:3 OT

Ottawa Senators

  • 13.10away · New Jersey Devils4:1
  • 11.10Nashville Predators3:2 SO
  • 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
  • 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5
  • 06.10away · Boston Bruins4:1

Head to head

  • 16.03.2026Ottawa Senators — San Jose Sharks7:4
  • 23.11.2025San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators2:3
  • 02.03.2025Ottawa Senators — San Jose Sharks5:3
  • 28.11.2024San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators3:4
  • 10.03.2024San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators2:1

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights750225–18+710
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators650119–12+710
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers541025–17+89
17Nashville Predators522114–1406
18San Jose Sharks530213–17-46
19Florida Panthers622212–17-56

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →