NHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · United Center
Chicago Blackhawks — Pittsburgh Penguins
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
5:3Missed
In short
Final score 5:3: the model's most likely outcome, Pittsburgh Penguins to win (63% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.
Pittsburgh Penguins are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- Pittsburgh Penguins are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks — Pittsburgh Penguins | 2.5–3.2 | |
| Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chicago Blackhawks
- Chicago Blackhawks goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Carolina Hurricanes2:5
- 09.10away · New York Islanders1:4
- 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2
- 04.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:4
- 02.10away · Utah Mammoth0:6
- 11.10Dallas Stars2:1 SO
- 10.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 SO
- 08.10away · Washington Capitals3:5
- 06.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 04.10Montreal Canadiens6:5 OT
Head to head
- 30.01.2026Pittsburgh Penguins — Chicago Blackhawks6:2
- 29.12.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Pittsburgh Penguins3:7
- 09.04.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Chicago Blackhawks5:0
- 07.04.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Pittsburgh Penguins3:1
- 16.02.2024Chicago Blackhawks — Pittsburgh Penguins1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Florida Panthers | 7 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
Next matches
- Chicago BlackhawksWinnipeg Jets16 October · NHL40602The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Colorado AvalanchePittsburgh Penguins17 October · NHL65351The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.2
NHL on the same day
- 59411The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%3:7Final score 3:7. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 56441The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%2:3SOFinal score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:1.5.0
- 46542The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.5
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:7Final score 2:7. Model's score: 1:4.5.6
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →