NHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets

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Model prediction for 16 October

Chicago Blackhawks30%
Draw in regulation23%
Winnipeg Jets46%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Winnipeg Jets are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Winnipeg Jets are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets2.4–2.9
Chicago Blackhawks to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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Form

Chicago Blackhawks

  • 14.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
  • 11.10Carolina Hurricanes2:5
  • 09.10away · New York Islanders1:4
  • 07.10St. Louis Blues4:2
  • 04.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:4

Winnipeg Jets

  • 14.10Minnesota Wild5:2
  • 10.10Anaheim Ducks1:5
  • 08.10Colorado Avalanche3:2
  • 06.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
  • 04.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:2

Head to head

  • 01.04.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets3:4 OT
  • 04.03.2026Winnipeg Jets — Chicago Blackhawks3:2 OT
  • 20.01.2026Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets2:0
  • 31.10.2025Winnipeg Jets — Chicago Blackhawks6:3
  • 13.04.2025Chicago Blackhawks — Winnipeg Jets4:5 SO

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild741221–16+59
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets641118–17+19
10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche640229–19+108
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124
29Chicago Blackhawks720517–29-124
30Philadelphia Flyers803510–31-213

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →