AHL (American Hockey League) · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Chicago Wolves — Grand Rapids Griffins

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Model prediction for 2 November

Chicago Wolves31%
Draw in regulation21%
Grand Rapids Griffins48%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Grand Rapids Griffins are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.

Why

  • Grand Rapids Griffins are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Chicago Wolves — No. 32, 0 pts; Grand Rapids Griffins — No. 11, 7 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Chicago Wolves: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Chicago Wolves 3 wins, Grand Rapids Griffins 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chicago Wolves — Grand Rapids Griffins2.4–3.0
Chicago Wolves to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)50%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)50%

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Form

Chicago Wolves

  • 11.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:5
  • 11.10Manitoba Moose1:6
  • 04.10away · Manitoba Moose3:8
  • 03.10away · Manitoba Moose0:3
  • 20.06away · Toronto Marlies3:4

Grand Rapids Griffins

  • 11.10Chicago Wolves5:1
  • 11.10away · Milwaukee Admirals1:4
  • 10.10Manitoba Moose2:1
  • 04.10away · Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
  • 03.10away · Cleveland Monsters5:2

Head to head

  • 11.10.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Chicago Wolves5:1
  • 22.05.2026Chicago Wolves — Grand Rapids Griffins3:2
  • 20.05.2026Chicago Wolves — Grand Rapids Griffins3:4 OT
  • 17.05.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Chicago Wolves3:4 OT
  • 15.05.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Chicago Wolves1:2

Full record: 31 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
10Coachella Valley Firebirds422019–14+56.750
11Grand Rapids Griffins531117–13+47.700
12Ontario Reign320111–13-24.667
31Lehigh Valley Phantoms30128–15-71.167
32Chicago Wolves40045–22-170.000

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →