Chicago Wolves — Texas Stars
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Chicago Wolves 49%, Texas Stars 51% including overtime.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chicago Wolves — Texas Stars | 2.9–2.9 | |
| Chicago Wolves to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Texas Stars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chicago Wolves
- Chicago Wolves goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:5
- 11.10Manitoba Moose1:6
- 04.10away · Manitoba Moose3:8
- 03.10away · Manitoba Moose0:3
- 20.06away · Toronto Marlies3:4
- 12.10away · Hershey Bears1:6
- 11.10away · Hershey Bears1:2
- 04.10Iowa Wild3:4 SO
- 03.10Iowa Wild4:3 SO
- 06.05away · Chicago Wolves1:6
Head to head
- 06.05.2026Chicago Wolves — Texas Stars6:1
- 03.05.2026Chicago Wolves — Texas Stars4:5 OT
- 03.05.2026Chicago Wolves — Texas Stars2:1
- 01.05.2026Texas Stars — Chicago Wolves4:5 OT
- 29.04.2026Texas Stars — Chicago Wolves2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Abbotsford Canucks | 4 | 1 | -4 | 3 | .375 |
| 25 | Texas Stars | 4 | 1 | -6 | 3 | .375 |
| 26 | Rockford IceHogs | 3 | 1 | -2 | 2 | .333 |
| 31 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 3 | 0 | -7 | 1 | .167 |
| 32 | Chicago Wolves | 4 | 0 | -17 | 0 | .000 |
AHL on the same day
- Ontario ReignTucson Roadrunnerspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- San Diego GullsHenderson Silver Knightspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.9
- Belleville SenatorsToronto Marliespreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.9
- Utica CometsHamilton Hammerspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsProvidence Bruinspreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- Springfield ThunderbirdsHartford Wolf Packpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →