AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Springfield Thunderbirds 52%, Hartford Wolf Pack 48% including overtime.
5.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack | 2.9–2.8 | |
| Springfield Thunderbirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 55% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Springfield Thunderbirds
- Springfield Thunderbirds goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Charlotte Checkers1:2 SO
- 11.10Laval Rocket2:5
- 04.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
- 04.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2 OT
- 24.05away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:8
- 11.10Laval Rocket2:5
- 11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:7
- 10.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
- 05.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2
- 04.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:2
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack4:3
- 18.04.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Springfield Thunderbirds7:5
- 12.04.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack1:3
- 01.02.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack4:1
- 10.01.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Hartford Wolf Pack7:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
AHL on the same day
- Ontario ReignTucson Roadrunnerspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Chicago WolvesTexas Starspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.8
- San Diego GullsHenderson Silver Knightspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.9
- Belleville SenatorsToronto Marliespreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.9
- Utica CometsHamilton Hammerspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsProvidence Bruinspreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →