AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: San Diego Gulls 47%, Henderson Silver Knights 53% including overtime.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 3.0.
Facts
- League table: San Diego Gulls — No. 15, 5 pts; Henderson Silver Knights — No. 27, 2 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: San Diego Gulls 3 wins, Henderson Silver Knights 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights | 2.9–3.0 | |
| San Diego Gulls to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Henderson Silver Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap San Diego Gulls
- San Diego Gulls goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Henderson Silver Knights2:0
- 10.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds3:6
- 05.10away · San Jose Barracuda4:5 OT
- 04.10away · San Jose Barracuda5:1
- 25.04away · Colorado Eagles1:6
- 11.10away · San Diego Gulls0:2
- 05.10Bakersfield Condors1:3
- 04.10Bakersfield Condors4:3
- 10.05away · Colorado Eagles2:6
- 07.05away · Colorado Eagles0:4
Head to head
- 11.10.2026San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights2:0
- 05.02.2026San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights7:4
- 17.12.2025Henderson Silver Knights — San Diego Gulls1:0
- 14.12.2025San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights1:2 SO
- 13.12.2025San Diego Gulls — Henderson Silver Knights4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rochester Americans | 4 | 2 | +6 | 5 | .625 |
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 26 | Rockford IceHogs | 3 | 1 | -2 | 2 | .333 |
| 27 | Henderson Silver Knights | 3 | 1 | -3 | 2 | .333 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 4 | 1 | -9 | 2 | .250 |
AHL on the same day
- Ontario ReignTucson Roadrunnerspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Chicago WolvesTexas Starspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.8
- Belleville SenatorsToronto Marliespreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.9
- Utica CometsHamilton Hammerspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Lehigh Valley PhantomsProvidence Bruinspreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- Springfield ThunderbirdsHartford Wolf Packpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →