AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Utica Comets — Hamilton Hammers

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Model prediction for 1 November

Utica Comets44%
Draw in regulation21%
Hamilton Hammers35%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Utica Comets are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

6.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.

Why

  • Utica Comets are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Utica Comets — Hamilton Hammers3.1–2.9
Utica Comets to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Hamilton Hammers to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)60%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)40%

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Form

Utica Comets

  • 12.10away · Belleville Senators4:2
  • 11.10Rochester Americans2:1
  • 03.10away · Providence Bruins2:1
  • 19.04away · Providence Bruins4:2
  • 18.04Providence Bruins4:1

Hamilton Hammers

  • 11.10Toronto Marlies2:5
  • 10.10Toronto Marlies4:5 SO
  • 03.10away · Toronto Marlies3:5
  • 03.10away · Belleville Senators5:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
1Utica Comets33008–4+461.000
2Milwaukee Admirals22007–2+541.000
22Belleville Senators420210–13-34.500
23Hamilton Hammers411214–17-33.375
24Abbotsford Canucks411211–15-43.375

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →