NHL · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche — St. Louis Blues
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
6:1Came true
In short
Final score 6:1: the model's most likely outcome, Colorado Avalanche to win (73% incl. overtime), came true.
Colorado Avalanche are clear favourites: 73% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.6 expected goals against 2.2.
- St. Louis Blues: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Colorado Avalanche — St. Louis Blues | 3.6–2.2 | |
| Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 73% | |
| St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 27% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Colorado Avalanche
- Colorado Avalanche goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.10Los Angeles Kings8:4
- 27.05away · Vegas Golden Knights1:2
- 25.05away · Vegas Golden Knights3:5
- 23.05Vegas Golden Knights1:3
- 21.05Vegas Golden Knights2:4
- 03.10away · Dallas Stars4:0
- 17.04away · Utah Mammoth5:3
- 15.04Pittsburgh Penguins7:5
- 14.04Minnesota Wild6:3
- 12.04away · Chicago Blackhawks5:3
Head to head
- 08.04.2026St. Louis Blues — Colorado Avalanche1:3
- 06.04.2026Colorado Avalanche — St. Louis Blues2:3
- 01.01.2026Colorado Avalanche — St. Louis Blues6:1
- 06.04.2025St. Louis Blues — Colorado Avalanche5:4
- 29.03.2025Colorado Avalanche — St. Louis Blues1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 11, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 12, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
Next matches
- Chicago BlackhawksSt. Louis Blues7 October · NHL41592The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 1:4.5.2
- Winnipeg JetsColorado Avalanche8 October · NHL34662The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
NHL on the same day
- 73271The most likely outcome came true: 119%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.9
- 60401The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.6
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 122%6:5OTFinal score 6:5 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.0
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 123%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →