NHL · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets — Utah Mammoth

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Model prediction and result

1:4Came true
Columbus Blue Jackets38%
Draw in regulation22%
Utah Mammoth40%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, Utah Mammoth to win (51% incl. overtime), came true.

Close to a coin flip: Columbus Blue Jackets 49%, Utah Mammoth 51% including overtime.

5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 3.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Columbus Blue Jackets — Utah Mammoth2.9–3.0
Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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  • Totals incl. OT
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  • Columbus Blue Jackets goals
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Form

Columbus Blue Jackets

  • 02.10Buffalo Sabres6:3
  • 15.04Washington Capitals1:2
  • 13.04Boston Bruins2:3
  • 12.04away · Montreal Canadiens5:2
  • 10.04away · Buffalo Sabres0:5

Utah Mammoth

  • 02.10Chicago Blackhawks6:0
  • 02.05Vegas Golden Knights1:5
  • 30.04away · Vegas Golden Knights4:5 OT
  • 28.04Vegas Golden Knights4:5 OT
  • 25.04Vegas Golden Knights4:2

Head to head

  • 08.03.2026Columbus Blue Jackets — Utah Mammoth4:5 OT
  • 12.01.2026Utah Mammoth — Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 OT
  • 07.02.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Utah Mammoth2:3 OT
  • 01.02.2025Utah Mammoth — Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 OT

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken640226–17+98
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth640222–15+78
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionBoston Bruins640220–13+78
24New York Islanders520316–13+34
25Columbus Blue Jackets420213–14-14
26New Jersey Devils520311–18-74

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →