NHL · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · UBS Arena
New York Islanders — New Jersey Devils
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6:0Came true
In short
Final score 6:0: the model's most likely outcome, New York Islanders to win (54% incl. overtime), came true.
New York Islanders are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New York Islanders — New Jersey Devils | 2.8–2.5 | |
| New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap New York Islanders
- New York Islanders goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs1:2
- 15.04Carolina Hurricanes1:2
- 13.04Montreal Canadiens1:4
- 11.04Ottawa Senators0:3
- 10.04Toronto Maple Leafs5:3
- 02.10Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
- 15.04away · Boston Bruins0:4
- 13.04Ottawa Senators4:3 OT
- 12.04away · Detroit Red Wings5:3
- 10.04Pittsburgh Penguins2:5
Head to head
- 06.02.2026New Jersey Devils — New York Islanders1:3
- 07.01.2026New York Islanders — New Jersey Devils9:0
- 24.12.2025New York Islanders — New Jersey Devils2:1
- 11.11.2025New Jersey Devils — New York Islanders2:3 OT
- 13.04.2025New Jersey Devils — New York Islanders0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 | New York Islanders | 6 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Nashville Predators | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | New Jersey Devils | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 24 | San Jose Sharks | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
Next matches
- New Jersey DevilsUtah Mammoth7 October · NHL45552The most likely outcome came true: 224%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
- New York RangersNew York Islanders7 October · NHL57431The most likely outcome came true: 124%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
NHL on the same day
- 73271The most likely outcome came true: 119%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.9
- 60401The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 2:3.5.6
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 122%6:5OTFinal score 6:5 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.0
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →