NHL · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers — Carolina Hurricanes
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:3 OTCame true
In short
Final score 2:3 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Carolina Hurricanes to win (52% incl. overtime), came true.
Close to a coin flip: Philadelphia Flyers 48%, Carolina Hurricanes 52% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.8.
- Carolina Hurricanes: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Facts
- Philadelphia Flyers: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Philadelphia Flyers 1 win, Carolina Hurricanes 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Philadelphia Flyers — Carolina Hurricanes | 2.7–2.8 | |
| Philadelphia Flyers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Philadelphia Flyers
- Philadelphia Flyers goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.10away · New Jersey Devils2:3 OT
- 01.10Pittsburgh Penguins0:7
- 10.05Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 08.05Carolina Hurricanes1:4
- 05.05away · Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 03.10Washington Capitals2:5
- 30.09Florida Panthers0:1 OT
- 15.06away · Vegas Golden Knights3:0
- 12.06Vegas Golden Knights4:2
- 10.06away · Vegas Golden Knights5:3
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 08.05.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Carolina Hurricanes1:4
- 05.05.2026Carolina Hurricanes — Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
- 03.05.2026Carolina Hurricanes — Philadelphia Flyers3:0
- 14.04.2026Philadelphia Flyers — Carolina Hurricanes3:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 29 | Chicago Blackhawks | 7 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
Next matches
- Tampa Bay LightningPhiladelphia Flyers6 October · NHL58421The most likely outcome came true: 124%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 4:1, exactly right.5.1
- Montreal CanadiensCarolina Hurricanes7 October · NHL43572The most likely outcome came true: 223%4:6Final score 4:6. Model's score: 1:4.5.5
NHL on the same day
- 73271The most likely outcome came true: 119%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 49512The most likely outcome came true: 222%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.9
- 60401The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 122%6:5OTFinal score 6:5 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.6.3
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%3:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 44562The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 2:5.6.0
- 54461The most likely outcome came true: 123%6:0Final score 6:0. Model's score: 3:2.5.3
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →