NHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Columbus Blue Jackets — Vegas Golden Knights

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Model prediction for 25 October

Columbus Blue Jackets34%
Draw in regulation23%
Vegas Golden Knights44%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Vegas Golden Knights are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.

Why

  • Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Columbus Blue Jackets — Vegas Golden Knights2.6–3.0
Columbus Blue Jackets to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)56%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)44%

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Form

Columbus Blue Jackets

  • 14.10Florida Panthers3:7
  • 11.10away · St. Louis Blues3:5
  • 10.10Pittsburgh Penguins3:2 SO
  • 04.10Utah Mammoth1:4
  • 02.10Buffalo Sabres6:3

Vegas Golden Knights

  • 14.10away · Nashville Predators5:2
  • 13.10away · Minnesota Wild2:4
  • 11.10Los Angeles Kings2:1 OT
  • 09.10Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
  • 07.10away · Seattle Kraken6:2

Head to head

  • 09.01.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
  • 14.12.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Vegas Golden Knights2:3
  • 14.03.2025Columbus Blue Jackets — Vegas Golden Knights0:4
  • 31.01.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Columbus Blue Jackets1:2 OT
  • 24.03.2024Vegas Golden Knights — Columbus Blue Jackets4:2

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionNew York Rangers860227–14+1312
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights860230–20+1012
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionEdmonton Oilers651029–18+1111
25Dallas Stars621313–11+25
26Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →