NHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings — New Jersey Devils
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:5 OTMissed
In short
Final score 4:5 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Detroit Red Wings to win (59% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 59% fails in about 41 matches out of 100 on average.
Detroit Red Wings are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 53%.
Why
- Detroit Red Wings are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.5.
- New Jersey Devils: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Detroit Red Wings — New Jersey Devils | 3.0–2.5 | |
| Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 53% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Detroit Red Wings
- Detroit Red Wings goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Montreal Canadiens0:1 SO
- 10.10Seattle Kraken3:6
- 07.10Ottawa Senators5:3
- 04.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 03.10New York Rangers0:2
- 13.10Ottawa Senators1:4
- 10.10Vancouver Canucks4:1
- 07.10Utah Mammoth3:5
- 04.10away · New York Islanders0:6
- 02.10Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Detroit Red Wings — New Jersey Devils3:5
- 09.03.2026New Jersey Devils — Detroit Red Wings0:3
- 25.11.2025New Jersey Devils — Detroit Red Wings4:3
- 17.04.2025New Jersey Devils — Detroit Red Wings2:5
- 29.11.2024Detroit Red Wings — New Jersey Devils4:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | San Jose Sharks | 5 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 24 | New Jersey Devils | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 5 | 2 | +3 | 5 |
| 26 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 28 | Vancouver Canucks | 8 | 2 | -12 | 4 |
Next matches
- New Jersey DevilsNew York Rangers16 October · NHL48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Detroit Red WingsPhiladelphia Flyers16 October · NHL52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.9
NHL on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%3:7Final score 3:7. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 56441The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.6
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%2:3SOFinal score 2:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:1.5.0
- 46542The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:4.5.5
- 48522The most likely outcome came true: 223%2:7Final score 2:7. Model's score: 1:4.5.6
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 122%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
- 37632The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:55.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →