NHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK
New Jersey Devils — New York Rangers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: New Jersey Devils 47%, New York Rangers 53% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New Jersey Devils — New York Rangers | 2.5–2.6 | |
| New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| New York Rangers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap New Jersey Devils
- New Jersey Devils goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Detroit Red Wings5:4 OT
- 13.10Ottawa Senators1:4
- 10.10Vancouver Canucks4:1
- 07.10Utah Mammoth3:5
- 04.10away · New York Islanders0:6
- 14.10Tampa Bay Lightning4:1
- 12.10Vancouver Canucks6:2
- 10.10away · Washington Capitals1:3
- 07.10New York Islanders5:2
- 05.10Utah Mammoth4:2
Head to head
- 01.04.2026New York Rangers — New Jersey Devils4:1
- 19.03.2026New York Rangers — New Jersey Devils3:6
- 07.03.2026New Jersey Devils — New York Rangers6:3
- 05.04.2025New Jersey Devils — New York Rangers4:0
- 10.01.2025New York Rangers — New Jersey Devils3:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 23 | San Jose Sharks | 5 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 24 | New Jersey Devils | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 25 | Dallas Stars | 6 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
NHL on the same day
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.8
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.3
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:56.0
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:14.9
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.2
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.3
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →