KHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
Dinamo Minsk — Magnitogorsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In play · estimate from before kick-off
In short
Close to a coin flip: Dinamo Minsk 52%, Magnitogorsk 48% including overtime.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Dinamo Minsk — No. 13, 17 pts; Magnitogorsk — No. 1, 25 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Magnitogorsk: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Dinamo Minsk 0 wins, Magnitogorsk 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dinamo Minsk — Magnitogorsk | 2.7–2.6 | |
| Dinamo Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dinamo Minsk
- Dinamo Minsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Shanghai3:2
- 10.10away · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:6
- 08.10SKA St. Petersburg4:2
- 05.10Nizhny Novgorod1:2 SO
- 03.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl4:3
- 12.10away · Nizhny Novgorod3:2 OT
- 09.10Salavat Ufa7:1
- 07.10Vladivostok3:0
- 05.10Vladivostok2:5
- 02.10away · Spartak Moscow2:0
Head to head
- 03.03.2026Dinamo Minsk — Magnitogorsk0:3
- 31.01.2026Magnitogorsk — Dinamo Minsk5:4
- 28.01.2025Magnitogorsk — Dinamo Minsk4:1
- 17.10.2024Dinamo Minsk — Magnitogorsk0:2
- 14.11.2023Dinamo Minsk — Magnitogorsk1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Magnitogorsk | 16 | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 11 | +22 | 22 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 16 | 8 | -3 | 17 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 17 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
KHL on the same day
- 43572The most likely outcome came true: 223%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:3.4.7
- 66341The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%2:4Final score 2:4. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:4.4.9
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.2
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →