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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Dinamo St. Petersburg — AKM

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Model prediction for 24 October

Dinamo St. Petersburg47%
Draw in regulation21%
AKM31%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dinamo St. Petersburg are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • Dinamo St. Petersburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.4.

Facts

  • League table: Dinamo St. Petersburg — No. 20, 13 pts; AKM — No. 3, 21 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Dinamo St. Petersburg 4 wins, AKM 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dinamo St. Petersburg — AKM2.9–2.4
Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)59%
AKM to win (incl. OT and shootout)41%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Dinamo St. Petersburg
  • Dinamo St. Petersburg goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Dinamo St. Petersburg

  • 14.10away · Bars2:4
  • 12.10away · Almetyevsk2:3
  • 10.10away · CSK VVS5:3
  • 05.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:3
  • 02.10away · Zvezda Moscow4:2

AKM

  • 14.10Chelmet Chelyabinsk4:2
  • 12.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:3
  • 10.10Orsk3:0
  • 05.10away · Perm0:3
  • 03.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:0

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026AKM — Dinamo St. Petersburg3:2 SO
  • 03.11.2025Dinamo St. Petersburg — AKM5:3
  • 16.12.2024AKM — Dinamo St. Petersburg3:4 OT
  • 30.11.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — AKM1:0
  • 10.02.2024AKM — Dinamo St. Petersburg1:5

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh14102231–22+922
3, PlayoffsAKM1593347–34+1321
4, PlayoffsKaluga1493232–20+1221
19Rubin Tyumen1270529–32-314
20Dinamo St. Petersburg1461739–46-713
21HC Yugra1260620–18+212

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • SKA-VMF St. PetersburgRyazanpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
  • Zvezda MoscowKalugapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 225%Model's score: 1:23.7
  • PermOmskie Kryliapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
  • Toros NeftekamskKurganpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
  • IzhevskRubin Tyumenpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
  • OlympiaHC Yugrapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:33.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →