VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 23 October, 19:00 MSK

Dizel — Tambov

Model prediction for 23 October

Dizel50%

Draw in regulation22%

Tambov28%

Model estimate at 09:18 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dizel are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.

Why

Dizel are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

League table: Dizel — No. 22, 12 pts; Tambov — No. 12, 16 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Dizel 1 win, Tambov 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dizel — Tambov		2.6–2.0
Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout)		63%
Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout)		37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		35%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		65%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Dizel
Dizel goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Dizel

13.10away · Kurgan3:4
11.10away · Omskie Krylia2:3
05.10Dyn. Altay3:1
03.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
01.10Krasnoyarsk2:0

Tambov

13.10away · Rubin Tyumen2:3 OT
11.10away · Kurgan3:0
09.10away · Omskie Krylia1:5
03.10Dyn. Altay2:0
01.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:0

Head to head

20.12.2025Dizel — Tambov3:5
18.11.2025Tambov — Dizel2:4
11.01.2025Tambov — Dizel4:3
11.11.2024Dizel — Tambov2:3 OT
06.02.2024Tambov — Dizel6:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
11, Playoffs	Perm	12	8	0	4	30–23	+7	16
12, Playoffs	Tambov	13	7	2	4	34–34	0	16
13, Playoffs	Gornyak	10	7	1	2	29–18	+11	15
21	HC Yugra	12	6	0	6	20–18	+2	12
22	Dizel	13	5	2	6	29–31	-2	12
23	Dyn. Altay	12	5	2	5	25–30	-5	12

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

16:30
Chelmet ChelyabinskHC Norilskpreliminary
6139
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.2
16:30
OrskMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary
2971
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.1
17:00
Magnitka MagnitogorskKrasnoyarskpreliminary
7030
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
17:30
Kristall SaratovBuran Voronezhpreliminary
4654
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
18:30
BarsCSK VVSpreliminary
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →