NHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Edmonton Oilers — Carolina Hurricanes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Carolina Hurricanes are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 60%.
Why
- Carolina Hurricanes are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Edmonton Oilers — No. 4, 11 pts; Carolina Hurricanes — No. 1, 13 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Edmonton Oilers: 5 wins in a row; Carolina Hurricanes: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Edmonton Oilers 3 wins, Carolina Hurricanes 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Edmonton Oilers — Carolina Hurricanes | 2.8–3.1 | |
| Edmonton Oilers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Carolina Hurricanes to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 60% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 40% |
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Form
- 14.10away · Los Angeles Kings4:1
- 10.10away · San Jose Sharks3:1
- 08.10away · Anaheim Ducks5:2
- 04.10Seattle Kraken3:1
- 02.10away · Vancouver Canucks9:7
- 14.10Washington Capitals4:2
- 12.10away · Philadelphia Flyers4:1
- 11.10away · Chicago Blackhawks5:2
- 09.10Vancouver Canucks7:2
- 07.10away · Montreal Canadiens6:4
Head to head
- 07.03.2026Edmonton Oilers — Carolina Hurricanes3:6
- 16.11.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Edmonton Oilers3:4 OT
- 02.03.2025Carolina Hurricanes — Edmonton Oilers1:3
- 23.10.2024Edmonton Oilers — Carolina Hurricanes2:3 OT
- 07.12.2023Edmonton Oilers — Carolina Hurricanes6:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Carolina Hurricanes | 8 | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsNashville Predatorspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- New Jersey DevilsAnaheim Duckspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Ottawa SenatorsSan Jose Sharkspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Pittsburgh PenguinsFlorida Pantherspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.2
- Toronto Maple LeafsNew York Rangerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- New York IslandersLos Angeles Kingspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Dallas StarsWinnipeg Jetspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- St. Louis BluesVegas Golden Knightspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →