NHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK
St. Louis Blues — Vegas Golden Knights
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vegas Golden Knights are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St. Louis Blues — Vegas Golden Knights | 2.5–2.8 | |
| St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap St. Louis Blues
- St. Louis Blues goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10away · Ottawa Senators7:2
- 11.10Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
- 09.10San Jose Sharks2:3 OT
- 07.10away · Chicago Blackhawks2:4
- 04.10away · Colorado Avalanche1:6
- 14.10away · Nashville Predators5:2
- 13.10away · Minnesota Wild2:4
- 11.10Los Angeles Kings2:1 OT
- 09.10Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
- 07.10away · Seattle Kraken6:2
Head to head
- 11.01.2026Vegas Golden Knights — St. Louis Blues4:2
- 02.01.2026St. Louis Blues — Vegas Golden Knights4:3
- 16.11.2025St. Louis Blues — Vegas Golden Knights1:4
- 24.01.2025St. Louis Blues — Vegas Golden Knights2:4
- 21.01.2025Vegas Golden Knights — St. Louis Blues4:5 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsNashville Predatorspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- New Jersey DevilsAnaheim Duckspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Ottawa SenatorsSan Jose Sharkspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:25.9
- Pittsburgh PenguinsFlorida Pantherspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.2
- Toronto Maple LeafsNew York Rangerspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- New York IslandersLos Angeles Kingspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Dallas StarsWinnipeg Jetspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.1
- Calgary FlamesMinnesota Wildpreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →