NHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK

New York Islanders — Los Angeles Kings

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Model prediction for 23 October

New York Islanders39%
Draw in regulation24%
Los Angeles Kings36%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: New York Islanders 51%, Los Angeles Kings 49% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New York Islanders — Los Angeles Kings2.5–2.4
New York Islanders to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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Form

New York Islanders

  • 14.10Vancouver Canucks3:2
  • 11.10Tampa Bay Lightning3:5
  • 09.10Chicago Blackhawks4:1
  • 07.10away · New York Rangers2:5
  • 04.10New Jersey Devils6:0

Los Angeles Kings

  • 14.10Edmonton Oilers1:4
  • 11.10away · Vegas Golden Knights1:2 OT
  • 07.10Florida Panthers1:2
  • 04.10away · San Jose Sharks4:5 OT
  • 01.10away · Colorado Avalanche4:8

Head to head

  • 14.03.2026New York Islanders — Los Angeles Kings2:3
  • 06.03.2026Los Angeles Kings — New York Islanders5:3
  • 12.03.2025Los Angeles Kings — New York Islanders4:1
  • 11.12.2024New York Islanders — Los Angeles Kings1:3
  • 12.03.2024Los Angeles Kings — New York Islanders3:0

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
19Buffalo Sabres731319–26-77
20New York Islanders630319–15+46
21Washington Capitals630319–18+16
30Philadelphia Flyers803510–31-213
31Los Angeles Kings502311–21-102
32Calgary Flames610512–29-172

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →