NHL · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Ottawa Senators — San Jose Sharks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ottawa Senators are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- Ottawa Senators are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ottawa Senators — San Jose Sharks | 3.2–2.6 | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| San Jose Sharks to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ottawa Senators
- Ottawa Senators goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · New Jersey Devils4:1
- 11.10Nashville Predators3:2 SO
- 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5
- 06.10away · Boston Bruins4:1
- 10.10Edmonton Oilers1:3
- 09.10away · St. Louis Blues3:2 OT
- 06.10away · Dallas Stars0:5
- 04.10Los Angeles Kings5:4 OT
- 02.10Florida Panthers4:3 OT
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Ottawa Senators — San Jose Sharks7:4
- 23.11.2025San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators2:3
- 02.03.2025Ottawa Senators — San Jose Sharks5:3
- 28.11.2024San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators3:4
- 10.03.2024San Jose Sharks — Ottawa Senators2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 7 | 5 | +7 | 10 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 6 | 5 | +7 | 10 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 5 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 20 | Nashville Predators | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 | San Jose Sharks | 5 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 22 | New Jersey Devils | 6 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
NHL on the same day
- Boston BruinsNashville Predatorspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- New Jersey DevilsAnaheim Duckspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 5:25.7
- Pittsburgh PenguinsFlorida Pantherspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.1
- Toronto Maple LeafsNew York Rangerspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.6
- New York IslandersLos Angeles Kingspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.0
- Dallas StarsWinnipeg Jetspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.2
- St. Louis BluesVegas Golden Knightspreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Calgary FlamesMinnesota Wildpreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →