DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
ERC Ingolstadt — Augsburger Panther
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
ERC Ingolstadt are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 65%.
Why
- ERC Ingolstadt are more dangerous in attack: 3.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Facts
- League table: ERC Ingolstadt — No. 11, 9 pts; Augsburger Panther — No. 6, 14 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: ERC Ingolstadt 4 wins, Augsburger Panther 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ERC Ingolstadt — Augsburger Panther | 3.8–2.5 | |
| ERC Ingolstadt to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 71% | |
| Augsburger Panther to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 29% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 65% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap ERC Ingolstadt
- ERC Ingolstadt goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Frankfurt Lowen2:3 SO
- 09.10away · Munchen5:1
- 04.10Kolner3:6
- 02.10away · Krefeld Pinguine1:3
- 27.09Adler Mannheim3:2 OT
- 11.10away · Krefeld Pinguine2:1
- 09.10Bremerhaven3:0
- 04.10away · Munchen2:4
- 02.10Grizzly Wolfsburg5:2
- 27.09Kolner4:6
Head to head
- 13.03.2026ERC Ingolstadt — Augsburger Panther7:4
- 12.12.2025Augsburger Panther — ERC Ingolstadt3:4
- 16.11.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Augsburger Panther5:1
- 23.10.2025Augsburger Panther — ERC Ingolstadt4:2
- 26.01.2025Augsburger Panther — ERC Ingolstadt2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Straubing Tigers | 8 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Augsburger Panther | 8 | 4 | +5 | 14 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Grizzly Wolfsburg | 8 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Frankfurt Lowen | 8 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | ERC Ingolstadt | 8 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Bremerhaven | 8 | 3 | -7 | 9 |
DEL on the same day
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.7
- 70301The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:25.4
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 42582The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →